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Higher prices, volumes key positives for iron ore miner NMDC stock

The company is likely to push iron ore capacity up, from the current rated 50 MTPA to 70 MTPA, which would leave it well-placed to meet demand in the next up cycle

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4 min read Last Updated : Mar 24 2023 | 10:54 PM IST

Iron ore major National Mineral Development Corporation (NMDC) looks like an interesting prospect. The public sector undertaking (PSU) has spun off its steel plant as a listed concern, NMDC Steel. It has hiked ore prices four times since November 2022, after removal of export duty, in response to strong trends. Overall, this is a 42 per cent hike in ore prices (averaged across fines and lumps) since November 2022, suggesting margin expansion and earnings upgrades in the fourth quarter of the 2022-23 (Q4FY23).

The hikes have been prompted by stronger seaborne ore prices and removal of export duty. China reopening and cutting its own carbon-intensive steel production has created export demand. NMDC’s prices are still at a considerable discount (30 per cent) to imports so there’s a margin of safety for the domestic business.

Volumes, though, are down and the share price hasn’t responded. In the 11-month period of FY23, sales volu